Malam Nasir El-Rufai, former governor of Kaduna State, has stated that Bola Tinubu might lose the 2027 presidential election due to how badly his relationship with the North has deteriorated.
In a post on his official X handle, tagged 2027: South West, Tinubu’s Supporters Playing with Fire, Part 1 and 2, El-Rufai revealed that less than 2 years into the Tinubu’s tenure, his relationship between the North was quickly deteriorating, driven by his words and conduct, especially those coming from Tinubu’s geopolitical zone and tribe.
He stated that as an APC member, he will naturally want his party to win re-election in 2027 but as a realist, he has to state the obvious.
His post reads partly,”It is actually premature to be talking about 2027 elections less than 2 years into our first tenure, but what is happening in the political arena is forcing me to speak to it, for as they say, ‘a stitch in time saves nine’.
“As an APC member, I naturally would want my party to win re-election in 2027. However, as a realist, I have my concerns.I recall that during the 2019 party Primaries, when I saw the way our party was handling the Primaries, I wrote that if the party wasn’t careful, it could go the way of the PDP which lost power after 16 years.
” I predicted then that if we didn’t return to our promised progressive path and ideology and instead stayed obsessed with just winning elections at any and all cost, just like the PDP, we could lose power at the federal level by 2031.
READ MORE:Everything I Said Against Tinubu Now Irrelevant — Bwala
“When I wrote that, we were not faced with the current situation we are faced with. Indeed, I never imagined that we would be in the current situation any time soon, surely not under President Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
” Note: I am not talking about the present economic situation and the likes. I am talking about the current and increasing ‘ghaghagha’ in our party and among APC members and supporters of the PBAT administration. Incidentally, many Nigerians have a short memory. Permit me to juggle the memories of some short memoried and uninitiated political neophytes.
“Many will recall that, as we approached the 2023 presidential election, with the conduct of some individuals, I desperately cautioned that we should be careful and not play with the North. Somehow, common sense prevailed, and we succeeded, unarguably and undeniably with the unquantifiable help of the North (the records of the election results prove so).
“May I remind some persons that, more than the performance or lack thereof of the President Goodluck Ebele Jonathan administration, it was his attitude, and that of people around him, towards the North that ultimately brought him down and by extension the PDP that had boasted that it would rule Nigeria for 60 years.
“Today, as I Iook at the rambunctiousness of some APC members and fellow supporters of President Bola Tinubu, especially from the south west geopolitical zone, I wonder if people have any sense of history and if they truly understand Nigerian politics.
“I read some people say that President Tinubu is not former President Jonathan, Jagaban is a political juggernaut and master strategist, etc. All that I totally agree with. No question whatsoever.
“However, politics is not a one champion show. While fPGEJ lacked equivalent political gravitas and sophistication (with all due respect to him) as PBAT, he had the then formidable PDP behemoth which could have actually seen him through but for the grievous ‘political mistake’ of messing with the North.
“Love or loathe that fact, the North remains the kingmaker in Nigerian politics, at least, as of today. Any politician or political party that plays with that reality might pay a steep political price for it.
“People who ignore history are bound to fall victim and to repeat mistakes of the past. I just want to prod our political senses, in case some of us are forgetting, in the euphoria of tribal and geopolitical politics. I hope better sense will prevail and soon too. It is whom you love that you chastise.”
Read Detailed Part 1:https://x.com/elrufai/status/1889248200399167887
Read Detailed Part 2:https://x.com/elrufai/status/1889248204983574738
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