Nigeria’s young people face a growing risk of mass unemployment by the end of 2030 under Tinubu’s administration, the World Bank has warned.
The global lender projects that around 1.2 billion young people in developing countries will reach working age over the next 10 to 15 years.
Only about 400 million new jobs are expected to appear in that time.
This leaves a gap of roughly 800 million jobs worldwide.
World Bank Group President Ajay Banga described the mismatch as more than an economic problem.
He said it could lead to social unrest, irregular migration, and pressure on public institutions.
He called it a national security concern for many countries. Nigeria stands out in this picture.
The country has one of the world’s fastest-growing youth populations.
Millions enter the labour market each year, but the economy struggles to create enough formal work.
Many young Nigerians already deal with high underemployment or take low-quality jobs to get by.
The warning comes at a time when job creation remains a key challenge.
Recent data from international sources show youth unemployment rates in Nigeria hover in single digits according to modelled estimates, but these figures often miss the full scale of the issue.
Underemployment and people who have stopped looking for work add to the pressure.
Banga stressed that governments and the private sector need to act quickly.
He pointed to the need for policies that turn economic growth into real jobs.
Investments in skills, infrastructure, and business growth could help turn the youth bulge into an advantage rather than a source of instability.
Without changes, the Bank said, the demographic trend risks becoming a drag on progress.
For Nigeria, the next few years will test whether reforms can match the pace of population growth and keep young people in productive work.
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